Perugia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
23.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
GEN
0 - 1
PRG
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
PRG
2 - 1
REG
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
PRG
2 - 1
BOL
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
USF
1 - 0
PRG
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
VER
0 - 0
PRG
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1996 |
CES
2 - 1
ANC
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
VNZ
1 - 0
CES
49%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
CES
1 - 0
PAL
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
PIS
1 - 2
CES
28%
30%
42%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
BRE
0 - 0
CES
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |