Vaprus Pärnu vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
62.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
KAL
4 - 0
PAR
89%
8%
3%
|
33 | 77 | 44 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 4
LEV
6%
15%
78%
|
33 | 77 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
TJK
3 - 0
PAR
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 4
TAL
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
TUL
1 - 1
PAR
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TUL
0 - 3
PAI
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
PAI
0 - 3
KAL
20%
22%
58%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
PAI
2 - 1
PAI
72%
15%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
PAI
3 - 3
FLO
13%
18%
69%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 2
PAI
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |