Palermo FC vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASC
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
NOC
1 - 2
PAL
28%
31%
42%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
MES
1 - 0
PAL
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
FER
2 - 2
PAL
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAT
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2001 |
MOD
2 - 0
LEC
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
BRE
0 - 1
MOD
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
MOD
4 - 1
USA
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
PIS
1 - 1
MOD
36%
31%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
MOD
2 - 0
ABN
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |