Paganese vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
60.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
JUS
1 - 1
PAG
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PAG
1 - 1
BIS
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 1
PAG
83%
13%
4%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
PAG
1 - 1
AVE
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 1
PAG
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
FCC
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 2
BAR
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 3
TER
57%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
RPO
1 - 4
BAR
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 0
JUS
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |