Qualif. Champions Play Offs. Final
Global 3-8
Paços de Ferreira vs Zenit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
SPB
29%
26%
46%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FCP
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 1
PAÇ
28%
28%
45%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
SCP
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ZEN
3 - 0
ANZ
50%
26%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
ZEN
5 - 0
FCN
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
VNN
1 - 3
ZEN
21%
24%
55%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
FCN
0 - 1
ZEN
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
ZEN
1 - 1
KUB
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |