Orlando Pirates vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
PIR
1 - 0
POL
67%
21%
11%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 0
PIR
12%
18%
71%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ZAM
2 - 1
PIR
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
PIR
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PIR
4 - 1
ZAM
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ALA
4 - 2
ZAM
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 1
LEO
88%
10%
3%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LEO
0 - 1
ALA
12%
18%
71%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ALA
0 - 3
PIR
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ALA
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |