Once Caldas vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
ONC
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ONC
1 - 0
NAC
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
COR
0 - 1
ONC
26%
29%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ONC
0 - 1
JAG
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BUC
0 - 0
ONC
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 2
AME
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 0
ALI
64%
23%
13%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
4 - 0
SFE
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
IND
3 - 1
ALI
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
JUN
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |