Championship Round 30

Oldham Athletic AFC vs Chelsea analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC Chelsea
63 ELO 74
4.3% Tilt 3.4%
3861º General ELO ranking 37º
100º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.3%
Oldham Athletic AFC
25.5%
Draw
33.2%
Chelsea

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.2%
Win probability
Chelsea
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oldham Athletic AFC
+4%
+11%
Chelsea

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
Chelsea
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 1927
PNE
Preston North End
5 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
75%
15%
10%
64 71 7 0
26 Feb. 1927
REA
Reading
6 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
63%
19%
18%
65 65 0 -1
19 Feb. 1927
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 3
Blackpool
BPO
53%
22%
25%
66 67 1 -1
12 Feb. 1927
GRI
Grimsby Town
2 - 5
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
42%
27%
32%
65 55 10 +1
05 Feb. 1927
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 3
Fulham
FUL
71%
18%
12%
66 57 9 -1

Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 1927
CAR
Cardiff City
3 - 2
Chelsea
CHL
63%
20%
17%
74 81 7 0
05 Mar. 1927
CHL
Chelsea
0 - 0
Cardiff City
CAR
42%
24%
35%
74 81 7 0
26 Feb. 1927
CHL
Chelsea
4 - 1
South Shields
SOU
65%
21%
14%
73 66 7 +1
12 Feb. 1927
FUL
Fulham
1 - 2
Chelsea
CHL
42%
27%
31%
73 58 15 0
05 Feb. 1927
CHL
Chelsea
5 - 2
Bradford City
BRA
74%
17%
9%
73 57 16 0