Oberlausitz Neugersdorf vs Budissa Bautzen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
11º
18º
18º
54
5º
18º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
5 - 2
OBE
64%
19%
16%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 0
AUE
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 0
OBE
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 4
SVB
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LFC
0 - 0
OBE
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
1 - 1
EWD
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EIN
7 - 0
BUD
36%
23%
42%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 0
WAC
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VFL
2 - 1
BUD
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
0 - 1
BIS
33%
24%
44%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |