Numancia vs Tenerife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
NUM
45%
29%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
NUM
0 - 2
RAC
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 1
NUM
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
NUM
1 - 2
MLL
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BAD
0 - 0
NUM
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
CDT
2 - 0
BET
14%
22%
64%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 0
CDT
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
SAB
1 - 3
CDT
49%
25%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 1
ALC
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
RAC
1 - 0
CDT
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |