Numancia vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
SLA
2 - 0
NUM
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
LEV
0 - 1
NUM
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
NUM
1 - 0
LEG
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
RCF
2 - 1
NUM
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
NUM
1 - 1
EIB
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
REC
2 - 0
CDB
56%
26%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
REC
0 - 0
SPO
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
XER
0 - 0
REC
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
SLA
2 - 3
REC
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
REC
0 - 0
LEV
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |