Numancia vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
VCF
4 - 0
NUM
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
NUM
1 - 1
MAL
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
DEP
0 - 2
NUM
73%
18%
10%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
NUM
1 - 1
ATH
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
MLL
3 - 0
NUM
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
FCB
2 - 2
RMA
65%
18%
17%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
VAD
0 - 2
FCB
19%
23%
58%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1999 |
FCB
1 - 1
ARS
72%
17%
11%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
FCB
4 - 1
BET
82%
12%
6%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
FCB
4 - 2
FIO
64%
19%
16%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | +1 |