Numancia vs Albacete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 2
NUM
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
NUM
3 - 0
GIM
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MLL
1 - 0
NUM
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
NUM
1 - 2
MAJ
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 0
NUM
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ALB
2 - 2
OSA
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ALB
2 - 1
ALC
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ELC
0 - 1
ALB
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 0
LUG
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CDT
0 - 0
ALB
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |