Newell's Old Boys vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1969 |
CAU
1 - 2
NOB
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
NOB
1 - 0
QUI
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
PLA
1 - 1
NOB
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
NOB
1 - 1
HUR
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1969 |
EST
1 - 0
NOB
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1969 |
CEN
3 - 1
COL
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
LAN
3 - 0
CEN
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
CEN
2 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
SLO
0 - 0
CEN
67%
19%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1969 |
CEN
1 - 1
GLP
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |