Newcastle vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 0
HUR
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
WOL
1 - 1
NEW
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
TOT
1 - 0
NEW
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 1
MAC
10%
18%
73%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BUR
2 - 1
TOT
13%
20%
67%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BHA
1 - 3
BUR
41%
27%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BUR
1 - 1
SOU
42%
28%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
MUD
2 - 2
BUR
70%
20%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
5 - 0
BUR
85%
10%
5%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |