Newcastle Sub 23 vs Burnley Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
BCS
0 - 4
NSB
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
NSB
1 - 1
REA
41%
23%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
TOW
2 - 1
NSB
65%
19%
17%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
NSB
1 - 2
ASV
51%
22%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 1
NSB
50%
23%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
BUR
2 - 3
SUN
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
WBA
3 - 2
BUR
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
LUS
5 - 2
BUR
74%
17%
10%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
REA
0 - 2
BUR
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
BUR
2 - 2
NOR
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |