NEC Nijmegen vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
GAE
2 - 1
NEC
32%
25%
42%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
NEC
2 - 0
HEL
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
TEL
1 - 7
NEC
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
NEC
0 - 2
BVO
37%
26%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
NEC
3 - 3
JON
27%
23%
51%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
ALM
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
JON
2 - 4
NAC
58%
22%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 3
NAC
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
FCO
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 2
NAC
46%
24%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |