Nacional vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
NAC
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPB
11%
18%
70%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 1
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 3
FAR
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
BOA
0 - 1
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 2
MOR
34%
29%
38%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
FCP
9%
18%
73%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
TON
2 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAN
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |