Muttenz vs Black Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
5º
14º
6º
52
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 61 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 61 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 60 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 60 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 56 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 49 |
7º
|
94% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 36 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 35 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 35 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
48.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
64.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
69% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 22 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 13 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 14.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
2% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 77.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
RTK
1 - 0
MUT
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
MUT
4 - 3
MUN
68%
17%
16%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCC
3 - 1
MUT
42%
22%
37%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MUT
4 - 1
WOH
70%
16%
15%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MUT
3 - 2
UZW
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RTK
2 - 1
BLA
37%
25%
39%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
WOH
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 3
BLA
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 6
WIN
6%
12%
82%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 0
LAN
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |