Montalegre vs São João Ver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PEV
3 - 1
MON
15%
19%
66%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
MON
3 - 2
FEL
21%
25%
55%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 2
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
FAF
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
38%
28%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PEV
1 - 2
SAO
14%
19%
68%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAO
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
ANA
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAO
46%
27%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |