UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 4-1
Molde FK vs Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
VIF
1 - 2
MFK
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
RBK
1 - 0
MFK
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
MFK
3 - 1
ODD
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
MFK
4 - 3
RBK
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
MFK
3 - 2
HAM
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
VEN
2 - 0
FKS
72%
18%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
FCD
3 - 0
VEN
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 1
FCJ
74%
18%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
FKJ
0 - 2
VEN
17%
23%
60%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 0
FSM
78%
16%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |