Milsami Orhei vs Sheriff analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
50.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
5º
4º
15
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 24 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
15 | 19 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 15 |
3º
|
83% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 11 |
4º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 10 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
2 | 3 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1.5% | 97.5% |
|
Eliminated
|
98.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milsami Orhei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ZAR
1 - 0
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 0
ZIM
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 2
ZIM
49%
25%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 3
MIL
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 0
MIL
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SHF
1 - 1
PET
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SHF
1 - 1
FCD
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHF
2 - 0
FCV
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SHF
1 - 2
RIG
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
SHF
1 - 1
VAL
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |