Millonarios vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
IND
1 - 2
MIL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 1
PAS
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
28%
28%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
MIL
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
ALI
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
JAG
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
EQU
1 - 2
ALI
49%
28%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
HUI
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |