FA Trophy . 1/128
Global 2-3
Metropolitan Police vs Biggleswade Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
MET
4 - 3
TIL
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 2
MET
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
MET
2 - 1
WES
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
MET
2 - 3
SWI
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
YAT
1 - 0
MET
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Biggleswade Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BIG
3 - 1
RUS
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BIG
2 - 1
BED
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BAN
3 - 2
BIG
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
COA
2 - 0
BIG
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BIG
2 - 1
TAM
26%
26%
48%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |