KV Mechelen vs OH Leuven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
8º
17º
13º
46
1º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 75 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
KVK
1 - 4
KVM
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KVM
2 - 3
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
STR
3 - 1
KVM
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
KVM
5 - 4
KVC
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CER
0 - 0
KVM
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
OH Leuven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LEU
3 - 2
CHA
34%
25%
40%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AND
2 - 2
LEU
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LEU
2 - 1
OOS
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SDL
1 - 3
LEU
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LEU
0 - 3
BRU
16%
21%
63%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |