Mazatlán vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazatlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
QRO
1 - 1
MAZ
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
MAZ
1 - 4
PUE
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
CHI
3 - 1
MAZ
53%
23%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
ATS
1 - 0
MAZ
40%
24%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
MAZ
0 - 0
TIG
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
TOL
3 - 2
AUR
66%
20%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
MON
3 - 1
TOL
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
PUM
0 - 0
TOL
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
AME
2 - 0
TOL
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |