Manchester City vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
WOL
2 - 5
MAC
19%
23%
58%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MUD
1 - 6
MAC
71%
18%
12%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
VIL
63%
22%
16%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
4 - 1
ASV
60%
22%
18%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BBU
0 - 4
MAC
22%
25%
54%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
WOL
2 - 5
MAC
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
WOL
2 - 2
SWA
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
WBA
2 - 0
WOL
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
WOL
1 - 2
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 1
WOL
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |