Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MUD
0 - 2
MAC
27%
24%
49%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
MAC
4 - 1
BRU
79%
14%
8%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 2
CRY
85%
11%
5%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
WHU
0 - 0
MAC
16%
21%
64%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BHA
1 - 4
MAC
8%
17%
75%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 0
TOT
32%
24%
45%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
WOL
2 - 1
EVE
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
EVE
2 - 5
WAT
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 1
WHU
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MUD
1 - 1
EVE
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |