FA Cup . Previa 3

Lowestoft Town vs Aveley analysis

Lowestoft Town Aveley
30 ELO 41
-10.6% Tilt 6.7%
6013º General ELO ranking 4262º
284º Country ELO ranking 162º
ELO win probability
22.3%
Lowestoft Town
21.4%
Draw
56.2%
Aveley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
Lowestoft Town
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
56.3%
Win probability
Aveley
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Lowestoft Town
Aveley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lowestoft Town
Lowestoft Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2020
BAR
Barwell
1 - 2
Lowestoft Town
LOW
58%
21%
22%
31 36 5 0
07 Mar. 2020
LOW
Lowestoft Town
2 - 1
Biggleswade Town
BIG
37%
24%
39%
31 33 2 0
29 Feb. 2020
STO
Stourbridge
2 - 0
Lowestoft Town
LOW
57%
20%
23%
31 34 3 0
22 Feb. 2020
LOW
Lowestoft Town
2 - 0
Stratford Town
STR
58%
21%
20%
31 25 6 0
18 Feb. 2020
LOW
Lowestoft Town
2 - 1
Stourbridge
STO
23%
23%
54%
29 38 9 +2

Matches

Aveley
Aveley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2020
AVE
Aveley
3 - 2
Dereham Town
DER
72%
16%
12%
41 29 12 0
12 Sep. 2020
HAT
Harpenden Town
0 - 3
Aveley
AVE
11%
15%
74%
41 15 26 0
01 Sep. 2020
AVE
Aveley
1 - 1
Cray Wanderers
CRA
43%
24%
33%
41 42 1 0
25 Aug. 2020
AVE
Aveley
2 - 1
Welling United
WEL
50%
24%
26%
41 40 1 0
09 Mar. 2020
AVE
Aveley
4 - 0
Basildon United
BAS
86%
9%
5%
41 21 20 0
X