Livorno Sub 19 vs Parma Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 1
LIV
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 2
PRO
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SPE
1 - 0
LIV
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 2
NOV
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LIV
0 - 0
SAM
39%
25%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Parma Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 1
PAR
15%
21%
64%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
EMP
37%
27%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
5 - 4
CAG
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
2 - 0
PAR
16%
21%
63%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -3 |