Lincoln City vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 1
LIN
23%
24%
54%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 1
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 3
OPA
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
DON
0 - 0
LIN
26%
26%
49%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 0
BOW
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
SHW
0 - 3
HAR
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
HAR
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
SWI
3 - 1
HAR
53%
24%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 3
FOR
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
WYC
0 - 1
HAR
58%
21%
21%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |