Karpaty II vs UCSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+151%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
9º
7º
56
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
55 | 62 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 62 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
|
1º
|
56 | 60 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 45 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 40 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 38 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 33 |
10º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 30 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 25 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
14º
|
90.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 14% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 80.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karpaty II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 4
CHA
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
RUT
0 - 5
KAR
8%
17%
75%
|
50 | 7 | 43 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
YED
3 - 0
KAR
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +14 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
KAR
1 - 0
DYK
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
BAS
6 - 1
KAR
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
UCSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 3
UCS
82%
13%
5%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
4 - 0
UCS
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 60 | 42 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
UCS
8 - 1
FKK
5%
11%
85%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | +11 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 0
UCS
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
UCS
1 - 1
FNB
5%
11%
84%
|
7 | 63 | 56 | 0 |