Kapfenberger SV vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
14º
12º
39
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 56 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 52 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 50 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 47 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 43 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 43 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 39 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 38 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
38% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 35 |
13º
|
51% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 30 |
14º
|
95.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 24 |
15º
|
90.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 18 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kapfenberger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
KAP
0 - 0
LAS
19%
22%
59%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
AMS
1 - 1
KAP
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KAP
3 - 2
DOR
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SVH
0 - 2
KAP
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KAP
1 - 1
AWM
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VIE
2 - 0
FCL
33%
24%
42%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
RIE
4 - 1
VIE
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
VIE
1 - 4
RAP
14%
18%
67%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
VIE
2 - 2
FAC
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SVL
2 - 3
VIE
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |