Internacional vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
SCI
2 - 0
CRI
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
VAS
2 - 3
SCI
53%
26%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1986 |
SCI
0 - 1
VAS
58%
24%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
RIO
2 - 1
SCI
18%
26%
56%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
SCI
3 - 1
SOB
85%
10%
5%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
NAC
2 - 1
ATM
26%
29%
45%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1986 |
COR
1 - 0
NAC
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
NAC
0 - 0
CEA
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1986 |
NAC
1 - 1
SOB
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
VAS
2 - 1
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |