Independiente Medellín vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
JAG
0 - 1
IND
25%
27%
49%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
SFE
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
IND
1 - 3
CAL
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
HUI
3 - 1
IND
19%
25%
56%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 2
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ONC
2 - 3
AGU
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ONC
1 - 1
BUC
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 1
ONC
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
JUN
4 - 2
ONC
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
ONC
0 - 1
PER
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |