Copa Colombia . Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Independiente Medellín vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
IND
1 - 4
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
SFE
2 - 0
IND
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
ONC
2 - 3
IND
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
5 - 2
IND
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
IND
1 - 2
AGU
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PAS
1 - 0
ONC
42%
28%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ONC
2 - 1
AME
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
ONC
2 - 3
IND
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
JUN
0 - 1
ONC
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
ONC
2 - 2
PAT
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |