Copa Colombia . Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
JUN
4 - 2
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
EQU
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
IND
17%
25%
58%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 3
IND
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
ONC
55%
26%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SFE
2 - 1
TOL
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
JAG
61%
24%
16%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 1
TOL
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 3
IND
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |