Hertha BSC vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
6º
18º
7º
59
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 67 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
78.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 52 |
6º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
45 | 49 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 49 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 46 |
10º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
11º
|
68% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 40 |
12º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 39 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
16º
|
76.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 32 |
17º
|
86.5% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 26 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 78.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 8% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
GLA
0 - 1
HER
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
KVM
3 - 0
HER
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
ERZ
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
OSN
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
KAI
1 - 2
HER
23%
23%
54%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 2
F95
21%
22%
58%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
FCD
2 - 6
F95
12%
16%
72%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 0
F95
37%
23%
40%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 3
F95
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
F95
0 - 1
HOL
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |