Hayes & Yeading United vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hayes & Yeading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
UXB
2 - 1
HAY
13%
17%
70%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
HAY
2 - 2
CHE
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
WEA
0 - 2
HAY
50%
22%
28%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HAY
3 - 1
WHI
45%
24%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
HAY
0 - 0
CHI
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
CUM
3 - 2
NEW
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
EXE
1 - 0
CUM
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
CUM
3 - 1
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
GRI
1 - 1
CUM
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
OLD
1 - 1
CUM
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |