Haverfordwest County vs Monmouth Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 3
HAV
39%
23%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
HAV
1 - 5
CON
10%
17%
73%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CAE
5 - 5
HAV
40%
23%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
HAV
0 - 0
TAF
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAM
70%
19%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Monmouth Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GOY
7 - 0
MON
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 1
MON
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
UND
5 - 1
MON
33%
21%
46%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 3
BAR
20%
24%
56%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
MON
4 - 1
TON
49%
22%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |