Hartley Wintney vs Barking analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
HEN
4 - 0
HAR
42%
24%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 1
BEA
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
HAN
3 - 5
HAR
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
CHE
0 - 0
HAR
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
HAR
5 - 0
ERI
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Barking
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 2
FCR
86%
10%
4%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 0
BAR
12%
20%
68%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
3 - 2
KIN
23%
22%
55%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
YEL
1 - 2
BAR
47%
23%
31%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
6 - 1
DUN
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |