Hartlepool United vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
60.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LUT
2 - 1
HAR
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 3
NOT
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
YEO
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
STE
41%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 2
EXE
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
YOR
1 - 2
NOR
15%
23%
62%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 0
WYC
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
OXF
0 - 1
NOR
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LEY
0 - 4
NOR
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 0
YOR
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |