League One Round 6

Hartlepool United vs Exeter City analysis

Hartlepool United Exeter City
60 ELO 61
6% Tilt -2.6%
4295º General ELO ranking 2078º
122º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
42.4%
Hartlepool United
26%
Draw
31.6%
Exeter City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
Hartlepool United
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.6%
Win probability
Exeter City
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hartlepool United
+13%
-9%
Exeter City

ELO progression

Hartlepool United
Exeter City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hartlepool United
Hartlepool United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2011
SCU
Scunthorpe United
2 - 0
Hartlepool United
HAR
55%
22%
24%
60 61 1 0
27 Aug. 2011
ROC
Rochdale
1 - 3
Hartlepool United
HAR
61%
22%
17%
59 64 5 +1
20 Aug. 2011
STE
Stevenage
2 - 2
Hartlepool United
HAR
63%
22%
15%
59 67 8 0
16 Aug. 2011
HAR
Hartlepool United
0 - 0
Huddersfield Town
HUR
23%
24%
52%
58 71 13 +1
13 Aug. 2011
HAR
Hartlepool United
1 - 1
Walsall
WAL
53%
25%
23%
58 58 0 0

Matches

Exeter City
Exeter City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2011
EXE
Exeter City
1 - 1
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
68%
19%
13%
62 52 10 0
27 Aug. 2011
EXE
Exeter City
2 - 1
Chesterfield
CHE
54%
24%
22%
61 60 1 +1
24 Aug. 2011
EXE
Exeter City
1 - 3
Liverpool
LIV
18%
25%
57%
62 91 29 -1
20 Aug. 2011
PNE
Preston North End
1 - 0
Exeter City
EXE
58%
22%
20%
62 65 3 0
16 Aug. 2011
EXE
Exeter City
1 - 2
Brentford
BRE
55%
24%
21%
63 61 2 -1