Hamilton Academical vs Kelty Hearts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 4
RAI
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HAM
5 - 0
STI
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
COV
1 - 0
HAM
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
HAM
21%
25%
55%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 1
EDI
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
QOS
1 - 3
KHE
48%
24%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
KHE
0 - 1
COV
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 2
KHE
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KHE
1 - 0
STI
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ALL
3 - 1
KHE
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |