Guaraní vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 0
LQE
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
GUA
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
GUA
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
4 - 1
GUA
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 2
GEN
62%
21%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 4
CCP
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
CCP
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CCP
0 - 1
LQE
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CCP
3 - 1
GEN
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |