Guaraní A. Franco vs San Jorge de Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
GAF
2 - 0
VCC
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
VCC
0 - 1
GAF
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
GAF
5 - 0
COM
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
COM
0 - 2
GAF
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
GAF
3 - 2
SPP
73%
17%
11%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
San Jorge de Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
SJA
1 - 0
DSR
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
DSR
2 - 3
SJA
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
SJA
0 - 0
PTR
63%
19%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
PTR
0 - 1
SJA
42%
22%
37%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
SJA
2 - 1
DCL
55%
20%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |