Grêmio vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2017 |
IQU
2 - 1
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
4 - 1
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
GRE
16%
25%
60%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
NOV
74%
18%
8%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 2
BSC
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 1
BOT
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
BSC
1 - 1
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
VAS
2 - 0
BOT
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |