EC Qualifying Grupo B. Jor. 10

Gibraltar vs Netherlands analysis

Gibraltar Netherlands
38 ELO 93
9.1% Tilt 16.1%
6575º General ELO ranking 24º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
2.4%
Gibraltar
9.4%
Draw
88.1%
Netherlands

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.4%
Win probability
Gibraltar
0.3
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.3%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.1%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.5%
88.1%
Win probability
Netherlands
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
17.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.3%
0-3
16.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
20.1%
0-4
11.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
13.4%
0-5
6.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.2%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gibraltar
-20%
+4%
Netherlands

ELO progression

Gibraltar
Netherlands
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gibraltar
Gibraltar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2023
FRA
France
14 - 0
Gibraltar
GIB
96%
4%
0%
38 95 57 0
16 Oct. 2023
GIB
Gibraltar
0 - 4
Ireland
IRL
9%
19%
73%
38 84 46 0
11 Oct. 2023
WLS
Wales
4 - 0
Gibraltar
GIB
85%
12%
3%
39 84 45 -1
10 Sep. 2023
GRC
Greece
5 - 0
Gibraltar
GIB
86%
11%
3%
39 84 45 0
06 Sep. 2023
MLT
Malta
1 - 0
Gibraltar
GIB
64%
18%
17%
39 51 12 0

Matches

Netherlands
Netherlands
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2023
NLD
Netherlands
1 - 0
Ireland
IRL
84%
11%
5%
93 84 9 0
16 Oct. 2023
GRC
Greece
0 - 1
Netherlands
NLD
10%
18%
72%
93 84 9 0
13 Oct. 2023
NLD
Netherlands
1 - 2
France
FRA
44%
25%
31%
93 95 2 0
10 Sep. 2023
IRL
Ireland
1 - 2
Netherlands
NLD
10%
19%
71%
93 84 9 0
07 Sep. 2023
NLD
Netherlands
3 - 0
Greece
GRC
84%
11%
4%
93 84 9 0
X