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Serie B. Matchday 4

Genoa vs Parma analysis

Genoa Parma
67 ELO 44
-42% Tilt -1%
223º General ELO ranking 694º
16º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
50.7%
Genoa
28.6%
Draw
20.8%
Parma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
Genoa
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
20.8%
Win probability
Parma
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Basic stats

55
45
POS
13
10
SOT
4
5
COR
3
3
GF
3
3
GC
14
18
FRK
67
44
ELO
1.3
0.7
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Genoa
Their league position
Parma
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
22
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected probabilities
Genoa
Parma