Copa Libertadores Eliminatorias. Quarter-finals

Global 5-1

Fluminense vs Olimpia analysis

Fluminense Olimpia
90 ELO 78
-0.2% Tilt -7.6%
62º General ELO ranking 445º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
74.6%
Fluminense
16.1%
Draw
9.3%
Olimpia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
Fluminense
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.3%
Win probability
Olimpia
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fluminense
-8%
+5%
Olimpia

ELO progression

Fluminense
Olimpia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2023
FLU
Fluminense
3 - 1
América Mineiro
AMF
63%
21%
16%
90 85 5 0
13 Aug. 2023
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
42%
26%
33%
90 87 3 0
09 Aug. 2023
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 0
Argentinos Juniors
ARG
73%
18%
9%
90 84 6 0
06 Aug. 2023
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
49%
25%
26%
90 90 0 0
02 Aug. 2023
ARG
Argentinos Juniors
1 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
23%
26%
51%
90 84 6 0

Matches

Olimpia
Olimpia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2023
OLI
Olimpia
1 - 1
Guaireña
GUA
61%
22%
17%
79 73 6 0
13 Aug. 2023
CCP
Cerro Porteño
1 - 1
Olimpia
OLI
43%
25%
32%
79 79 0 0
11 Aug. 2023
OLI
Olimpia
3 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
19%
22%
60%
78 89 11 +1
06 Aug. 2023
OLI
Olimpia
5 - 3
Guaraní
GUA
50%
25%
25%
78 78 0 0
04 Aug. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Olimpia
OLI
78%
14%
8%
78 90 12 0
X